9780521237581

Probability and Evidence

Format: Hardcover

ISBN13: 9780521237581

Hardcover|9780521237581


Overview

In this volume, which was originally published in 1982, Paul Horwich presents a clear and unified approach to a number of problems in the philosophy of science. He diagnoses the failure of other attempts to resolve them as stemming from a too-rigid, all-or-nothing conception of belief, and adopts instead a Bayesian strategy, emphasising the degree of confidence to which we are entitled the light of scientific evidence. This probabilistic approach, he argues, yields a more complete understanding of the assumptions and procedures characteristic of scientific reasoning. It also accounts for the merits of simplicity, severe tests and surprising predictions, and provides a way in which the dispute between the realist and instrumentalist views of science might be resolved. The result is a crisp, well-focused contribution to the philosophy of science. The elaboration of an important conception of probability will stimulate anyone with an interest in the field.

ISBN-13

9780521237581

ISBN-10

0521237580

List Price

$34.50

Edition

1st Edition

Format

Hardcover

Language

English

Pages

154 pages

Publisher

Cambridge University Press

Published On

1982-07-22



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