Prediction
by Stanley A. Changnon (Contribution by)Daniel Sarewitz (Editor)Rob Ravenscroft (Contribution by)Orrin H. Pilkey (Contribution by)Shirley Mattingly (Contribution by)Denis Walaker (Contribution by)Jack Fellows (Contribution by)J. Michael Pendleton (Contribution by)Ronald Brunner (Contribution by)Thomas R. Stewart (Contribution by)Clark Chapman (Contribution by)Don Gauteir (Contribution by)Charles Herrick (Contribution by)William Hooke (Contribution by)Dale Jamieson (Contribution by)Dan Metlay (Contribution by)Robert Moran (Contribution by)Joanne Nigg (Contribution by)Naomi Oreskes (Contribution by)Steve Rayner (Contribution by)Thomas L. Anderson (Contribution by)Roger A. Pielke (Editor)Radford Byerly (Editor)Roger A. Pielke (Editor)Radford Byerly (Editor)
Format: Paperback
ISBN13: 9781559637763
Paperback|9781559637763
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Overview
The idea that predictive science can simplify the decision-making process by creating a clearer picture of the future is deeply appealing in principle, but deeply problematic in practice.Predictionoffers a fascinating and wide-ranging look at the interdependent scientific, political, and social factors involved in using science-based predictions to guide policy making. Through ten detailed case studies, it explores society's efforts to generate reliable scientific information about complex natural systems and to use that information in making sound policy decisions. The book: provides an overview of predictive science from historical, scientific, political, and behavioral perspectives offers case studies of the use and misuse of scientific predictions on subjects ranging from asteroids to nuclear waste disposal proposes a practical analytical framework for the use of predictive science in setting policy recommends actions and policies that can increase the likelihood of effective decisions Contributors include Clark Chapman, Charles Herrick, William H. Hooke, Orrin Pilkey, Steve Rayner, Naomi Oreskes, Daniel Metlay, Stanley Changnon, Donald Gautier, Robert Moran, Joanne Nigg, and Thomas Stewart.Predictionis the first book to look at the numerous and varied scientific, social, and political factors involved in making and using predictions relevant to a wide range of current environmental controversies and challenges. It provides much-needed context for understanding predictions and scientific pronouncements, and is an important work for anyone concerned with interactions between science and policy making.
| ISBN-13 | 9781559637763 |
|---|---|
| ISBN-10 | 1559637765 |
| Weight | 1.25 Pounds |
| Dimensions | 6.00 x 0.70 x 9.00 In |
| List Price | $45.00 |
| Edition | 2nd Edition |
| Format | Paperback |
|---|---|
| Language | English |
| Pages | 400 pages |
| Publisher | Island Press |
| Published On | 2000-04-01 |
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Bonita
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